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   U.S. Key Economic Indicators


Auto and Truck Sales
Business Inventories
Chicago PMI
Conference Board Consumer Confidence
Construction Spending
Consumer Credit
Consumer Price Index, CPI
Durable Goods Orders
Employment Cost Index
Employment Report
Existing Home Sales
Export & Import Prices
Factory Orders
Gross Domestic Product - GDP
Housing Starts & Building Permits
Industrial Production
Initial Jobless Claims
International Trade
Leading Indicators Report
Money Supply
NAPM: National Association of Purchasing Managers
New Home Sales
Non-Manufacturing NAPM
Personal Income & Consumption
Philadelphia Fed Index
PPI - Producer Price Index
Productivity and Costs
Regional Manufacturing Surveys
Retail Sales report
Treasury Budget
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index
Weekly Chain Store Sales
Wholesale Trade report
 
 

Durable Goods Orders

  • Importance (A-F): This release merits a B.
  • Source: The Census Bureau of the Department of Commerce.
  • Release Time: 8:30 ET around the 26th of the month (data for month prior).
  • Raw Data Available At: www.census.gov

The durable orders release measures the dollar volume of orders, shipments, and unfilled orders of durable goods (defined as goods whose intended lifespan is three years or more). Orders are considered a leading indicator of manufacturing activity, and the market often moves on this report despite the volatility and large revisions that make it a less than perfect indicator. These problems can be minimized by looking at the breakdown of orders. The total number is often skewed by huge increases in aircraft and defense orders. An increase based solely on strength in one sector tends to be discounted, while the market is more impressed with broadbased increases in orders.

Also notable in this report is the narrow category of nondefense capital goods. These goods mirror the GDP category producers' durable equipment (PDE) -- the largest component of business investment. Shipments of nondefense capital goods are a good proxy for PDE in the current quarter, while nondefense capital goods orders provide an indication of PDE growth in the quarters ahead.



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