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   U.S. Key Economic Indicators


Auto and Truck Sales
Business Inventories
Chicago PMI
Conference Board Consumer Confidence
Construction Spending
Consumer Credit
Consumer Price Index, CPI
Durable Goods Orders
Employment Cost Index
Employment Report
Existing Home Sales
Export & Import Prices
Factory Orders
Gross Domestic Product - GDP
Housing Starts & Building Permits
Industrial Production
Initial Jobless Claims
International Trade
Leading Indicators Report
Money Supply
NAPM: National Association of Purchasing Managers
New Home Sales
Non-Manufacturing NAPM
Personal Income & Consumption
Philadelphia Fed Index
PPI - Producer Price Index
Productivity and Costs
Regional Manufacturing Surveys
Retail Sales report
Treasury Budget
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index
Weekly Chain Store Sales
Wholesale Trade report
 
 

Initial Jobless Claims

  • Importance (A-F): This release merits a C+.
  • Source: The Employment and Training Administration of the Department of Labor.
  • Release Time: 8:30 ET each Thursday (data for week ended prior Saturday).
  • Raw Data Available at: www.dol.gov

Initial jobless claims measure the number of filings for state jobless benefits. This report provides a timely, but often misleading, indicator of the direction of the economy, with increases (decreases) in claims potential signalling slowing (accelerating) job growth. On a week-to-week basis, claims are quite volatile, and many analysts therefore track a four week moving average to get a better sense of the underlying trend. It typically takes a sustained move of at least 30K in claims to signal a meaningful change in job growth.

There are two other statistics in this report -- the number of people receiving state benefits and the insured unemployment rate; neither is watched closely by the market. Some analysts track the number of people receiving state benefits from month to month as a guide for job growth, though this series has a poor track record in predicting the monthly employment report. The insured unemployment rate changes little on a weekly basis and is never a factor for the market.

unemployment claims
Initial jobless claims

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